Programme Day 2 - 3rd October 2008

8:30 Registration and breakfast

9:00 Chairperson's opening remarks

9:10 Keynote address

Donald Bisenius, Senior Vice President, FREDDIE MAC

9:50 Presentation: Credit risk modeling of Alt-A

  • Asset valuation
  • Innovation in response to changing market conditions
  • Comparing results of valuation analysis (drivers of value) with actual performance of Washington Mutual collateral
Amir Shuja, Capital Markets Manager, WASHINGTON MUTUAL

10.30 Morning break

11:00 Presentation: Survival strategies: Practical issues in loan default management

  • Determining exactly how much to hedge
  • Dynamic versus static hedging
  • Modeling tools and technology requirements
  • The risks to look at in a pipeline risk management program
  • Managing fallout
Speaker to be confirmed

11.40 Presentation: Using balance guaranteed swaps as a risk reduction tool

  • House price modeling in a contracting market
  • Delinquencies and defaults: Long way down?
  • When will the housing market recover from subprime?
  • Subprime and the impact on investor confidence
Speaker to be confirmed

12:20 Lunch

1:20 Panel discussion: Mortgage securitization, transparency and valuation considerations

  • Standardization of data for mortgage loans
  • Analyzing loan-by-loan data and data validation
  • Pricing mechanics and the return to fundamental analysis
Manoj Singh, Senior Vice President – Market Risk Oversight, FREDDIE MAC
Glenn Schultz, Managing Director – Head of ABS and Non-Conforming Mortgage Research, WACHOVIA
Further panelists to be confirmed

2:20 Presentation: Accounting standards for mortgage finance

  • FAS 140 amendments
  • FIN 46(R)
  • Fair Value Accounting under FAS 157
Kevin Stoklosa, Project Manager, FASB

3:00 Afternoon break

3:30 Presentation: Adjusting for model risk in prepayment calculations

  • Understanding the sources of model risk
  • Validation and backtesting
  • Incorporating model risk into modeling methodologies
Jim Berkovek, Vice President and Head of Models and Methods Group, FREDDIE MAC

4:10 Presentation: Washington to the rescue: Can the government help housing?

  • Examining government-funded bail-out plans to alleviate subprime distress
  • How could each plan help?
  • The impact on mortgage finance
Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Director and Head – U.S. Fixed Income Strategy, BARCLAYS CAPITAL

4:50 Chairperson’s closing remarks

5:00 End of conference

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